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Afrikan Liberation Institute => Math and Science (STEM) => Topic started by: KhepraEvolutionary on Jan 21, 2010, 01:32 AM

Title: 6.1 Earthquake occurred in Haiti about 6 a.m. EST-gctid38468
Post by: KhepraEvolutionary on Jan 21, 2010, 01:32 AM
Another full blown earthquake hit Haiti this morning.

GDACS impact assessment: Orange Earthquake alert in Haiti (http://www.gdacs.org/reports.asp?eventType=EQ&ID=73931&system=asgard&location=HTI&alertlevel=Orange&glide_no=)

Orange Earthquake Alert in Haiti
Summary

On 1/20/2010 11:03:44 AM UTC an earthquake of magnitude 6.1 and depth 9.9km has struck an very highly populated area in the Ouest Province (population: 2.2 million) in Haiti. GDACS estimates the likelihood for need of international humanitarian intervention to be medium (Orange alert).

This earthquake can have a medium humanitarian impact since the affected region is very highly populated and has medium resilience for natural disasters.

The earthquake 2km from the city of Petit-Goave. The nearest populated places are Platon Besace (14km), Aleman (10km), Bonhomme (14km). It is a mountainous region with a maximum altitude of 2532 m.
Humanitarian Impact   impact
Population resilience   vul
Tsunami probability   tsunami
Landslide probability   slope
Nuclear radiation probability   radiation

Caution: this information is based on risk models. Whether international humanitarian aid is needed must be decided by an expert.

This report was automatically updated by a computer on: 1/20/2010 11:26:35 AM UTC (22 minutes after the event)

Downloads: Word report, PDF report

Explanation of alert calculation: Show

The impact model combines magnitude (M), population within 100km (P) and vulnerability/resilience ECHO average score (V) using the formula:
alertscore = max(M-4.5,0) * log10(max(P / 80000,0))^ 0.5 * max(V,0.5) ^ 1.5 / 3
The weighted product of magnitude (6.1), population (5007493) and vulnerability (1.75) results in an alertscore of 1.65490505240629
Then alert is Red if alertscore>2, Orange if alertscore>1 and Green if alertscore